“Steve Jobs”: Oscar predictions for September

“Steve Jobs”: Oscar predictions for September

Now that we’re well into the month of September, it’s time to kick predictions into high gear. It’ll be twice a month now in terms of updates, especially now that we’re also knee deep in the fall festival season. I love this time of year so much, which makes this a pleasure, but still…it’s crunch time. You really want to start making these predictions as close to accurate as possible at this point, so while it’s still fun, it’s also work. As you’ll see below, I’ve made some changes in light of festivals like Telluride, Venice, and now the start of Toronto, with New York to come next week. Suffice to say, by the end of the month when I update these predictions, they’ll likely already be out of date.

The big thing to take note of here is that I’ve bumped down The Martian from winning in the major categories. Now, the film did just premiere at TIFF and the early word is rather terrific, so why did I do that? Well, some of the praise makes it seem more likely of a nominee than perhaps expected by others, but maybe less of a winner as well. We’ll see, but for now, I’m experimenting and backing off. I’m also doing it in favor of seeing how Our Brand is Crisis looks in the top spot. I’ll adjust if the word up north isn’t too favorable for that one, but right now, I’m trying that out. Time will tell how it looks, but I’ll change it up in a few weeks if it’s clear I’ve made a blunder…

Anyway, enough talk. Here now is my up date Academy Award predictions. Enjoy:

BEST PICTURE

1. Our Brand is Crisis
2. The Revenant
3. Bridge of Spies
4. Steve Jobs
5. Carol
6. The Martian
7. Spotlight
8. Joy
9. The Hateful Eight
10. Brooklyn

Next in line: 11. The Light Between Oceans (possible 2016 release) 12. The Danish Girl 13. Miles Ahead (possible 2016 release) 14. Inside Out 15. Black Mass 16. By the Sea 17. Sicario 18. The End of the Tour 19. The Walk 20. Trainwreck 21. Beasts of No Nation 22. In the Heart of the Sea 23. Macbeth 24. Suffragette 25. Lion 26. Mad Max: Fury Road 27. Freeheld 28. I Saw The Light 29. Room 30. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST DIRECTOR

1. David Gordon Green – Our Brand is Crisis
2. Alejandro G. Iñárritu – The Revenant
3. Danny Boyle – Steve Jobs
4. Steven Spielberg – Bridge of Spies
5. Todd Haynes – Carol

Next in line: 6. Ridley Scott – The Martian 7. David O. Russell – Joy 8. Quentin Tarantino – The Hateful Eight 9. Derek Cianfrance – The Light Between Oceans (possible 2016 release) 10. Tom McCarthy – Spotlight 11. Don Cheadle – Miles Ahead (possible 2016 release) 12. John Crowley – Brooklyn 13. George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road 14. Cary Fukunaga – Beasts of No Nation 15. Tom Hooper – The Danish Girl 16. Angelina Jolie – By the Sea 17. Robert Zemeckis – The Walk 18. Scott Cooper – Black Mass 19. Ron Howard – In the Heart of the Sea. 20. James Ponsoldt – The End of the Tour

BEST ACTOR

1. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
2. Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
3. Johnny Depp – Black Mass
4. Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl
5. Matt Damon – The Martian

Next in line: 6. Jason Segel – The End of the Tour (Could go Supporting) 7. Don Cheadle – Miles Ahead (possible 2016 release) 8. Joseph Gordon-Levitt – Snowden or The Walk 9. Jake Gyllenhaal – Southpaw 10. Tom Hanks – Bridge of Spies 11. Paul Dano – Love & Mercy (Could go Supporting) 12. Idris Elba – Beasts of No Nation (Could go Supporting) 13. Tom Hiddleston – I Saw the Light 14.Ian McKellen – Mr. Holmes 15. Miles Teller – Bleed for This 16. Bradley Cooper – Burnt 17. Michael Caine – Youth 18. Ben Foster – The Program 19. Brad Pitt – By the Sea 20. Jesse Eisenberg – The End of the Tour (Could go Supporting)

BEST ACTRESS

1. Jennifer Lawrence – Joy
2. Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn
3. Cate Blanchett – Carol (Could go Supporting)
4. Sandra Bullock – Our Brand is Crisis
5. Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl

Next in line: 6. Lily Tomlin – Grandma 7. Carey Mulligan – Suffragette 8. Brie Larson – Room 9. Emily Blunt – Sicario 10. Blythe Danner – I’ll See You in My Dreams 11. Angelina Jolie – By the Sea 12. Marion Cotillard – MacBeth 13. Julianne Moore – Freehold (Could go Supporting) 14. Juliette Binoche – Clouds of Sils Maria 15. Rooney Mara – Carol (Currently predicting in Supporting) 16. Amy Schumer – Trainwreck 17. Meryl Streep – Ricki and the Flash 18. Charlize Theron – Mad Max: Fury Road (Could go Supporting) 19. Greta Gerwig – Mistress America 20. Melissa McCarthy – Spy

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Bruce Dern – The Hateful Eight
2. Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight
3. Tom Hardy – The Revenant
4. Joel Edgerton – Black Mass
5. Seth Rogen – Steve Jobs

Next in line: 6. Kurt Russell – The Hateful Eight 7. Sam Elliot – Grandma 8. Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies 9. Bradley Cooper – Joy 10. Michael Keaton – Spotlight 11. John Cusack – Love & Mercy (Could go Lead) 12. Billy Bob Thornton – Our Brand is Crisis 13. Benicio del Toro – Sicario 14. Samuel L. Jackson – The Hateful Eight 15. Anthony Mackie – Our Brand is Crisis 16. Jeff Daniels – Steve Jobs 17. Kyle Chandler – Carol 18. Tim Roth – The Hateful Eight 19. Harvey Keitel – Youth 20. Ewan McGregor – Miles Ahead (possible 2016 release)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Rooney Mara – Carol (Could go Lead)
2. Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight
3. Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs
4. Jessica Chastain – The Martian
5. Zoe Kazan – Our Brand is Crisis

Next in line: 6. Kristen Stewart – Clouds of Sils Maria 7. Ellen Page – Freeheld (Could go Lead) 8. Elizabeth Banks – Love & Mercy 9. Sarah Paulson – Carol 10. Melanie Laurent – By the Sea 11. Alicia Vikander – Ex Machina 12. Shailene Woodley – Snowden 13. Joan Allen – Room 14. Rachel Weisz – The Light Between Oceans (possible 2016 release) 15. Amy Ryan – Bridge of Spies 16. Rachel McAdams – Spotlight 17. Helena Bonham Carter – Suffragette 18. Katherine Waterston – Steve Jobs 19. Elizabeth Olsen – I Saw the Light 20. Cynthia Nixon – James White

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Our Brand is Crisis
2. Spotlight
3. Inside Out
4. The Hateful Eight
5. Trainwreck

Next in line: 6. Grandma 7. Joy 8. Bridge of Spies 9. Miles Ahead (possible 2016 release) 10. Love & Mercy 11. Ex Machina 12. By the Sea 13. Sicario 14. Suffragette 15. Ricki and the Flash 16. Burnt 17. I’ll See You in My Dreams 18. Straight Outta Compton 19. The Good Dinosaur 20. Irrational Man

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Steve Jobs
2. Carol
3. The Martian
4. Brooklyn
5. The Revenant

Next in line: 6. The Light Between Oceans (possible 2016 release) 7. The End of the Tour 8. Me and Earl and the Dying Girl 9. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 10. The Danish Girl 11. Snowden 12. Black Mass 13. Room 14. Mad Max: Fury Road 15. In the Heart of the Sea 16. Beasts of No Nation 17. Freeheld 18. I Saw the Light 19. Macbeth 20. The Walk

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Inside Out
2. The Good Dinosaur
3. Minions
4. The Peanuts Movie
5. Monster Trucks

Next in line: 6. Home 7. Underdogs 8. The Boy and the World 9. Hotel Transylvania 2 10. Strange Magic

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. The Martian
4. Carol
5. The Hateful Eight

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. The Revenant
2. Sicario
3. Spectre
4. The Martian
5. The Hateful Eight

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. The Hateful Eight
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. Cinderella
4. The Revenant
5. Far from the Maddening Crowd

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Our Brand is Crisis
2. Steve Jobs
3. The Revenant
4. Bridge of Spies
5. Spotlight

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. The Danish Girl
2. Black Mass
3. Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Spectre
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. The Martian
4. Mad Max: Fury Road
5. Jurassic World

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Spectre
5. Sicario

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. The Martian
3. Jurassic World
4. Avengers: Age of Ultron
5. Ant-Man

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Spectre
2. Bridge of Spies
3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
4. The Martian
5. Steve Jobs

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Ricki and the Flash
2. Spectre
3. I’ll See You in My Dreams
4. Pitch Perfect 2
5. Southpaw

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Cartel Land
2. The Look of Silence
3. Where To Invade Next (possible 2016 release)
4. He Named Me Malala
5. The Hunting Ground

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. Son of Saul
2. Deephan
3. The Assassin
4. A Pigeon Sat On A Branch Reflecting on Existence
5. Goodnight Mommy

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

? (Still to come)

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

? (Still to come)

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

? (Still to come)

Stay tuned for another one of my updates to these (now not so) early Oscar predictions later on this month folks!

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