China Is Poised To Benefit From Trump’s Ambiguous Africa Policy

Eric Olander and Cobus van Staden are the duo behind the China Africa Project and hosts of the popular China in Africa Podcast. We’re here to answer your most pressing, puzzling, even politically incorrect questions, about all things related to the Chinese in Africa and Africans in China.

Although leaders in Asia, Europe and the Americas are speculating as to what the implications of Donald J. Trump’s election to the U.S. presidency are, at least those regions have some idea of what actions and policies he may pursue. The president-elect has already met with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on security and trade, spoken to NATO’s secretary general on the phone about whether Washington should continue to support the alliance and, of course, expressed throughout his campaign his desire to build that great wall along the U.S.-Mexican border. Africa, by contrast, was barely discussed, if at all, during the seemingly never-ending 18-month duel between Trump and his former rival Hillary Clinton. Now, with the election settled, African policymakers are struggling to figure out what it will mean for their countries when a potentially isolationist U.S. president assumes power in January.

There are early indications that some African countries may lean further in to China’s embrace to compensate for what they expect could be a retrenchment  in U.S. trade, investment and overall engagement on the continent. For Beijing, this could be a huge opportunity to strengthen its diplomatic positioning in Africa as the Chinese continue their massive aid, infrastructure and investment drive across the continent. All that Chinese money is also now paying dividends in the form of improved public opinion towards the Chinese in Africa which, according to a 2016 Afrobarometer survey, has been steadily rising. So if Washington either falters or retreats from constructive engagement in Africa, China may in fact be a major beneficiary.

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